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LOUD NOISES A place for political mudslinging, Pro/Anti legalization, gay marriage debate, Gun control rants, etc. If it's political, controversial, or hotly debated, it goes here. No regular Off-Topic stuff allowed. READ THE RULES BEFORE POSTING! |
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09-23-2010, 11:08 AM | #1 |
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How would you use gold as a currency? At $1300/oz, how would you carry $20 worth of gold? As recently as 2000, gold was only $237/oz. Does that mean we'd all magically have 6 times as much money now as we did ten years ago? It's a commodity. It's price fluctuates with the market, and has very little inherent value besides being shiny.
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09-23-2010, 03:59 PM | #2 | |||
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By carrying a $20 dollar certificate that will be redeemable for the fixed quantity of gold. How do you think they did it in the past? You thought that people actually carried physical gold on their persons? Quote:
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09-23-2010, 06:19 PM | #3 | ||
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if we all bought gold in 2000, and if we all sold our gold right now, then yes, we'd all "magically" have almost 6 times as many dollars we did in 2000. that magic is called "investing." inflation between 2000 and 2010 was 27%. if we held a set amount of dollars in a box somewhere, those dollars would now "magically" have 3/4 times the amount of value they had ten years ago. where did it all go? those dollars the US government printed in the interim sucked the value right out of the box, your wallets and your bank accounts. i don't know about you, but i'd rather have 6x instead of 3/4x. similarly, if we held a set amount of gold as currency from 2000 to 2010 (and ignored the effect that would have on demand for gold and all that), then yes, in this very instant we'd have roughly six times the buying power we did ten years ago with the same amount of gold, due to artificially inflated demand for gold, (actually not quite 6x, based on the peg of 2000 and 2010 dollars to gold). why? that magic is simply the power of demand. that's also why you should fear the death of the dollar as the reserve currency of the world. having the dollar as reserve currency "artificially" drives up international demand for the dollar, giving it more buying power it would otherwise have. high demand things are worth more of other types of things. simple enough. Quote:
that doesn't mean gold can't bubble or crash. economic instability drives demand for gold up. if $237 in 2000 is worth $300 in 2010, you'd expect a steady priced commodity bought for $237 in 2000 to be worth $300 in 2010. but instead, gold is worth what, like $1300. however, that doesn't mean much from 2000-2010. at a minimum, you should be able to conclude quite easily that gold from 2000-2010 is clearly a superior store of wealth compared to dollar (and probably all fiat currencies). it probably would have been even without the artificial demand caused by the economic shitstorm. look at any super long term chart for value of gold; it's pretty obvious. that doesn't necessarily mean it's a good buy or a bad buy. in short term, it depends on the circumstances of the moment what you think is going to happen. in long term, its a hedge for people who already have alot of money. not people with mortgages and expenses. i wish i bought in 2008. my friend told me it was going to jump up, and i didn't believe him. I think it was at $750 or so at that point. he bought in. he held, i told him it was going to drop, and he should sell. he told me to stfu. he said it was going to crest $1000. i think he sold at $1100/oz or so on something like 50oz. 50 x $350 sick ROI. he held it less than two years. i didn't believe them. now it's at fucking $1300, lol. almost double its value in less than 3 years, and i missed out on all of it. good thing i'm not an investor. |
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09-28-2010, 02:39 PM | #4 | |||||||||
Post Whore!
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Thanks for CONTRIBUTING something new.
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If you prefer a more market based transition, then there isn't enough gold in the world either. There is over $8 Trillion US dollars currently in the world. How is the US governement going to buy enough gold to back that many dollars? And, once the government starts buying gold, then the price of gold starts to skyrocket. Quote:
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Yeah, I was joking around there. Quote:
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Compare that to the S&P 500 for the past 50 years.
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09-23-2010, 08:37 PM | #5 | ||
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can one of you pro-gold std people read Globalizing Capital by eichengreen or here... let me google him for you globalizing capital eichengreen - Google Scholar killburn and company, do some research, learn something and then get back to the party... this article looks juicy Global imbalances and the lessons of Bretton Woods - Cairn.info DONE
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